Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.000832 0.000894 0.000959 0.001033 0.001115 0.001204 0.001306
2026-02-08 0.000727 0.000809 0.000899 0.001007 0.001134 0.001278 0.001457
2026-02-15 0.000670 0.000764 0.000872 0.001006 0.001169 0.001364 0.001617
2026-02-22 0.000621 0.000721 0.000840 0.000992 0.001183 0.001419 0.001739
2026-03-01 0.000574 0.000677 0.000801 0.000963 0.001174 0.001442 0.001818
2026-03-08 0.000540 0.000646 0.000775 0.000948 0.001178 0.001480 0.001918
2026-03-15 0.000511 0.000618 0.000752 0.000934 0.001181 0.001514 0.002013
2026-03-22 0.000472 0.000576 0.000707 0.000889 0.001139 0.001482 0.002009
2026-03-29 0.000450 0.000554 0.000687 0.000874 0.001137 0.001506 0.002087
2026-04-05 0.000438 0.000545 0.000684 0.000883 0.001167 0.001576 0.002240
2026-04-12 0.000423 0.000531 0.000673 0.000878 0.001178 0.001618 0.002353
2026-04-19 0.000436 0.000555 0.000713 0.000949 0.001302 0.001840 0.002779
2026-04-26 0.000411 0.000527 0.000684 0.000919 0.001278 0.001836 0.002835
2026-05-03 0.000391 0.000505 0.000661 0.000899 0.001267 0.001851 0.002927
2026-05-10 0.000379 0.000494 0.000652 0.000898 0.001286 0.001916 0.003117
2026-05-17 0.000364 0.000478 0.000637 0.000885 0.001285 0.001949 0.003249
2026-05-24 0.000347 0.000458 0.000614 0.000861 0.001264 0.001943 0.003305
2026-05-31 0.000334 0.000444 0.000599 0.000848 0.001260 0.001967 0.003423
2026-06-07 0.000322 0.000430 0.000585 0.000836 0.001256 0.001990 0.003541
2026-06-14 0.000304 0.000407 0.000556 0.000797 0.001204 0.001922 0.003461
2026-06-21 0.000294 0.000395 0.000543 0.000784 0.001197 0.001938 0.003561
2026-06-28 0.000289 0.000392 0.000542 0.000792 0.001225 0.002020 0.003822
2026-07-05 0.000282 0.000384 0.000535 0.000788 0.001233 0.002065 0.004001